The Scenarios

Scenario 1

This scenario depicts the “business-as-usual” option, in which Lehi grows and develops according to the existing Land Use Element. New housing is built primarily on the west and south areas of the city, with commercial and employment concentrated near Thanksgiving Point and the I-15 corridor. This scenario has the smallest amount of multifamily housing. It is the scenario that provides the lowest property tax and sales tax revenue of all the scenarios. Perhaps most importantly, this scenario shows that Lehi cannot accommodate its forecasted future growth by developing in areas of change alone, according to existing land use policies.

 

Scenario 2

This scenario concentrates new housing and jobs within the the large number of current and future transit-oriented development (TOD) areas in Lehi, with largely mixed-use development along the I-15 corridor. This scenario has the highest number of jobs of all four scenarios, and the highest projected sales tax revenue. It has the lowest projected landscaping water use of all four scenarios.

 

Scenario 3

This scenario focuses on allowing for a wider range of housing types within residential and mixed-use zones through increasing the availability of missing middle housing types. New housing is developed in all Areas of Change, though it is concentrated along the I-15 corridor and around Thanksgiving Point. This scenario has the largest number of projected households. It has the highest amount of multifamily housing. This scenario generates the highest property tax revenue.

 

Scenario 4

This scenario combines aspects of Scenario 2 and Scenario 3 to achieve a balance of new jobs and new housing, including missing middle options, within all Areas of Change. Scenario 4 has more single-family homes than either Scenario 2 or Scenario 3, including large lot, conventional lot, and small lot detached single-family homes. This Scenario has the lowest projected sales tax revenue and higher landscaping water usage than Scenario 2 or Scenario 3.